Arab News,
Wednesday, July 12, 2023 | Thul-Hijjah 24, 1444
AH
Saudi Arabia deposits $2bn in Pakistani central bank
KARACHI: Saudi Arabia has deposited $2 billion in Pakistan’s central bank,
Finance Minister Ishaq Dar announced on Tuesday, just a day before the
International Monetary Fund's board is expected to give the final nod to the
provision of $3 billion in bailout funds under a stand-by arrangement.
In March, the IMF asked cash-strapped Pakistan to secure financing assurances
from friendly states and multilateral donors as a pre-condition to releasing a
$1.1 billion tranche from an Extended Fund Facility program that Pakistan
entered in 2019. Subsequently, China rolled over a $2 billion loan and Saudi
Arabia and the UAE pledged $2 billion and $1 billion respectively.
The IMF deal will unlock more bilateral and multilateral financing in addition
to the money from Saudi Arabia, and Dar has said he expects Pakistan’s foreign
exchange reserves to rise to $15 billion by the end of the month.
“They [Saudi Arabia] have placed that deposit with the Pakistan State Bank, the
amount has come in the account of the State Bank and this will be a direct
addition to Pakistan’s foreign exchange reserves,” Dar said in a video
message.
Dar said Pakistan’s forex reserves, which closed at $9.6-9.7 billion last
Friday, would increase to $11.6-11.7 billion after the Saudi deposit.
“I would like to thank the leadership of Saudi Arabia, particularly King Salman
and Crown Prince His Royal Highness Mohammed bin Salman and their leadership for
standing with Pakistan at every moment,” Dar said, adding: “They fulfill their
role as a true brother of Pakistan.”
Pakistani financial experts also recognised the importance of the deposit.
“It is a very positive development,” Shahid Ali Habib, CEO of Arif Habib Limited
told Arab News.
“It reflects the great confidence in Pakistan shown by the Saudi leadership that
they have deposited the funds even before the formal approval of the $3 billion
program by the IMF board,” he added.
Pakistan expects $25 billion in gross external financing in fiscal year 24 —
which runs from July 1 2023 to June 30 2024 — against $15 billion in public debt
maturities, including $1 billion in bonds and $3.6 billion to multilateral
creditors.
The government’s funding target includes $1.5 billion in market issuance and
$4.5 billion in commercial bank borrowing, both of which could prove
challenging, although some of the loans not rolled over in FY23 could now
return, according to credit rating agency Fitch, which upgraded the country's
rating to ‘CCC’ on Monday.
As expected, the Saudi funding will boost Pakistan’s forex reserves which have
plummeted to $4.5 billion, not even enough to cover a month’s import bill. As
per the import trend, Pakistan’s average monthly import bill stands at $5
billion.
“The Saudi funding is like a lifeline to Pakistan under current circumstances,”
Zafar Sultan Paracha, general secretary of the Exchange companies Association of
Pakistan, told Arab News.
“This will boost our reserves position, reduce pressure on the Pakistani rupee
and clear the way for further inflows from other sources.”
The impact of the Saudi deposit was felt in the currency and stock markets on
Tuesday, which both posted gains after the finance minister’s announcement.
The rupee appreciated by 2.55 rupees ($0.0082) against the US dollar in the
interbank market and 1 rupee in the free market.
However, despite the funding flow and the IMF program, currency dealers said
they did not project “major fluctuations” in the value of the rupee.
“The funding gap is still huge and our trade deficit remains stubbornly high at
43 percent in the 11 months of the outgoing fiscal year,” Paracha said.
Following Dar’s announcement, the KSE100 Index crossed the 45,000 level for the
first time after April 2022.
“After the IMF SBA, the Pakistan stock market has emerged as the best performing
market with KSE100 index companies doling out 12.5 percent returns,” Habib
said.