KHALEEJ TIMES, Wednesday, Apr 7, 2021 | Shaaban 24, 1442
IMF upgrades UAE, global economic growth forecast
Emirates:
The International Monetary Fund (IMF) on Tuesday revised upward the UAE
and global economic growth forecast for 2021, thanks to massive vaccination
efforts as well as $1.9 trillion US stimulus package which will strengthen
recovery in the second half of this year.
The IMF Fund more than doubled the UAE’s 2021 growth projection from 1.3 per
cent in October 2020 to 3.1 per cent in its latest World Economic Outlook report
released on Tuesday. The fundFund sees the UAE’s growth softening to 2.6 per
cent next year.
The IMF credited approval of multiple Covidd-19 vaccines that can reduce the
severity and frequency of infections for improved outlook of the UAE and global
economy. The UAE is now the second most vaccinated country in the world after
Israel.
For the Middle East and Central Asia region, the IMF revised upward growth
outlook to 3.7 per cent for 2021 from 3.0 per cent. For the Middle East and
North Africa region, itthe Fund revised upward the 2021 growth outlook from 3.2
per cent to 4.0 per cent.
Stronger global recovery
IMF projected a stronger recovery for the global economy this year and the next.
“We are now projecting a stronger recovery in 2021 and 2022 for the global
economy compared to our previous forecast, with growth projected to be 6 per
cent in 2021 and 4.4 per cent in 2022. Nonetheless, the outlook presents
daunting challenges related to divergences in the speed of recovery,” said Gita
Gopinath, chief economist at IMF.
Nonetheless, the outlook presents daunting challenges related to divergences in
the speed of recovery
The Fund had projected 5.2 per cent growth for global economy for 2021 in its
previous forecast released in October 2020.
“Thanks to the ingenuity of the scientific community, we have multiple vaccines
that can reduce the severity and frequency of infections,” said Gopinath.
Among major economies, the US is expected to surpass its pre-Covid GDP level
this year, while many others in the group will return to their pre-Covid levels
only in 2022.
Similarly, among emerging market and developing economies, China had already
returned to pre-Covid-19 GDP in 2020, whereas many others are not expected to do
so until well into 2023.
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